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Abstract We present statistical results from the Epoch of Giant Planet Migration RV planet search program. This survey was designed to measure the occurrence rate of giant planets interior to the water ice line of young Sun-like stars, compare this to the prevalence of giant planets at older ages, and provide constraints on the timescale and dominant inward migration mechanism of giant planets. Our final sample amounts to 85 single young (20–200 Myr) G and K dwarfs that we target across a 4 yr time baseline with the near-infrared Habitable-zone Planet Finder spectrograph at McDonald Observatory’s Hobby-Eberly Telescope. As part of this survey, we discovered the young hot Jupiter HS Psc b. We characterize survey detection completeness with realistic injection-recovery tests and measure an occurrence rate of % for intermediate-age giant planets ( ) within 2.5 au. This is lower than the field age occurrence rate for the same planet masses and separations and favors an increase in the prevalence of giant planets over time from ∼100 Myr to several Gyr, although our results cannot rule out a constant rate. A decaying planet occurrence rate is, however, strongly excluded. This suggests that giant planets located inside the water ice line originate from a combination of in situ formation or early migration coupled with longer-term inward scattering. The completeness-corrected prevalence of young hot Jupiters in our sample is % —similar to the rate for field stars—and the 95% upper limit for young brown dwarfs within 5000 days is <3.6% .more » « less
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Abstract We describe the discovery and characterization of TOI-7149 b, a 0.705 ± 0.075MJ, 1.18 ± 0.045RJgas giant on a ∼2.65 days period orbit transiting an M4V star with a mass of 0.344 ± 0.030M⊙and an effective temperature of 3363 ± 59 K. The planet was first discovered using NASA’s TESS mission, which we confirmed using a combination of ground-based photometry, radial velocities, and speckle imaging. The planet has one of the deepest transits of all known main-sequence planet hosts at ∼12% (Rp/R⋆∼ 0.33). Pushing the bounds of previous discoveries of giant exoplanets around M-dwarf stars (GEMS), TOI-7149 is one of the lowest mass M-dwarfs to host a transiting giant planet. We compare the sample of transiting GEMS to stars within 200 pc with a Gaia color–magnitude diagram and find that the GEMS hosts are likely to be high metallicity stars. We also analyze the sample of transiting giant planets using the nonparametricMRExoframework to compare the bulk density of warm Jupiters across stellar masses. We confirm our previous result that transiting Jupiters around early M-dwarfs have similar masses and densities to warm Jupiters around FGK stars, and extend this to mid M-dwarfs, thereby suggesting a potential commonality in their formation mechanisms.more » « less
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The search for Earth-like exoplanets with the Doppler radial velocity (RV) technique is an extremely challenging and multifaceted precision spectroscopy problem. Currently, one of the limiting instrumental factors in reaching the required long-term 10−10level of radial velocity precision is the defect-driven subpixel quantum efficiency (QE) variations in the large-format detector arrays used by precision echelle spectrographs. Tunable frequency comb calibration sources that can fully map the point spread function (PSF) across a spectrograph’s entire bandwidth are necessary for quantifying and correcting these detector artifacts. In this work, we demonstrate a combination of laser frequency and mode spacing control that allows full and deterministic tunability of a 30 GHz electro-optic comb together with its filter cavity. After supercontinuum generation, this gives access to any optical frequency across 700–1300 nm. Our specific implementation is intended for the comb deployed at the Habitable-Zone Planet Finder (HPF) spectrograph and its near-infrared Hawaii-2RG array, but the techniques apply to all laser frequency combs (LFCs) used for precision astronomical spectrograph calibration and other applications that require broadband tuning.more » « less
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Abstract We present the discovery of GJ 251 c, a candidate super-Earth orbiting in the habitable zone (HZ) of its M dwarf host star. Using high-precision Habitable-zone Planet Finder and NEID RVs, in conjunction with archival RVs from the Keck I High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer, the Calar Alto High-resolution Search for M dwarfs with Exoearths with Near-infrared and optical Echelle Spectrograph, and the Spectropolarimétre Infrarouge, we improve the measured parameters of the known planet, GJ 251 b (Pb= 14.2370 days; = 3.85 M⊕), and we significantly constrain the minimum mass of GJ 251 c, placing it in a plausibly terrestrial regime (Pc= 53.647 ± 0.044 days; = 3.84 ± 0.75M⊕). Using activity mitigation techniques that leverage chromatic information content, we perform a color-dependent analysis of the system and a detailed comparison of more than 50 models that describe the nature of the planets and stellar activity in the system. Due to GJ 251’s proximity to Earth (5.5 pc), next generation, 30 meter class telescopes will likely be able to image terrestrial planets in GJ 251’s HZ. In fact, GJ 251 c is currently the best candidate for terrestrial, HZ planet imaging in the northern sky.more » « less
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Abstract We revisit the long-studied radial velocity (RV) target HD 26965 using recent observations from the NASA-NSF “NEID” precision Doppler facility. Leveraging a suite of classical activity indicators, combined with line-by-line RV analyses, we demonstrate that the claimed 45-day signal previously identified as a planet candidate is most likely an activity-induced signal. Correlating the bulk (spectrally averaged) RV with canonical line activity indicators confirms a multiday “lag” between the observed activity indicator time series and the measured RV. When accounting for this lag, we show that much of the observed RV signal can be removed by a linear detrending of the data. Investigating activity at the line-by-line level, we find a depth-dependent correlation between individual line RVs and the bulk RVs, further indicative of periodic suppression of convective blueshift causing the observed RV variability, rather than an orbiting planet. We conclude that the combined evidence of the activity correlations and depth dependence is consistent with an RV signature dominated by a rotationally modulated activity signal at a period of ∼42 days. We hypothesize that this activity signature is due to a combination of spots and convective blueshift suppression. The tools applied in our analysis are broadly applicable to other stars and could help paint a more comprehensive picture of the manifestations of stellar activity in future Doppler RV surveys.more » « less
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Abstract We present the confirmation of TOI-5573 b, a Saturn-sized exoplanet on an 8.79 days orbit around an early M dwarf (3790 K, 0.59R⊙, 0.61M⊙, 12.30 Jmag). TOI-5573 b has a mass of M⊕(0.35 ± 0.06MJup) and a radius of 9.75 ± 0.47R⊕(0.87 ± 0.04RJup), resulting in a density of g cm−3, akin to that of Saturn. The planet was initially discovered by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) and confirmed using a combination of 11 transits from four TESS Sectors (20, 21, 47, and 74), ground-based photometry from the Red Buttes Observatory, and high-precision radial velocity data from the Habitable-zone Planet Finder and NN-EXPLORE Exoplanet Investigations with Doppler spectrographs, achieving a 5σprecision on the planet’s mass. TOI-5573 b is one of the coolest Saturn-like exoplanets discovered around an M-dwarf, with an equilibrium temperature of only 528 ± 10 K, making it a valuable target for atmospheric characterization. Saturn-like exoplanets around M dwarfs likely form through core accretion, with increased disk opacity slowing gas accretion and limiting their mass. The host star’s supersolar metallicity supports core accretion, but uncertainties in M-dwarf metallicity estimates complicate definitive conclusions. Compared to other GEMS (Giant Exoplanets around M-dwarf Stars) orbiting metal-rich stars, TOI-5573 b aligns with the observed pattern that giant planets preferentially form around M-dwarfs with supersolar metallicity. Further high-resolution spectroscopic observations are needed to explore the role of stellar metallicity in shaping the formation and properties of giant exoplanets like TOI-5573 b.more » « less
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Abstract We report the discovery of a close-in (Porb= 3.349 days) warm Neptune with clear transit timing variations (TTVs) orbiting the nearby (d= 47.3 pc) active M4 star, TOI-2015. We characterize the planet's properties using Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) photometry, precise near-infrared radial velocities (RVs) with the Habitable-zone Planet Finder Spectrograph, ground-based photometry, and high-contrast imaging. A joint photometry and RV fit yields a radius , mass , and density for TOI-2015 b, suggesting a likely volatile-rich planet. The young, active host star has a rotation period ofProt= 8.7 ± 0.9 days and associated rotation-based age estimate of 1.1 ± 0.1 Gyr. Though no other transiting planets are seen in the TESS data, the system shows clear TTVs of super-period and amplitude ∼100 minutes. After considering multiple likely period-ratio models, we show an outer planet candidate near a 2:1 resonance can explain the observed TTVs while offering a dynamically stable solution. However, other possible two-planet solutions—including 3:2 and 4:3 resonances—cannot be conclusively excluded without further observations. Assuming a 2:1 resonance in the joint TTV-RV modeling suggests a mass of for TOI-2015 b and for the outer candidate. Additional transit and RV observations will be beneficial to explicitly identify the resonance and further characterize the properties of the system.more » « less
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Abstract We confirm the planetary nature of TOI-5344 b as a transiting giant exoplanet around an M0-dwarf star. TOI-5344 b was discovered with the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite photometry and confirmed with ground-based photometry (the Red Buttes Observatory 0.6 m telescope), radial velocity (the Habitable-zone Planet Finder), and speckle imaging (the NN-Explore Exoplanet Stellar Speckle Imager). TOI-5344 b is a Saturn-like giant planet (ρ= 0.80 g cm−3) with a planetary radius of 9.7 ± 0.5R⊕(0.87 ± 0.04RJup) and a planetary mass of (0.42 ). It has an orbital period of days and an orbital eccentricity of . We measure a high metallicity for TOI-5344 of [Fe/H] = 0.48 ± 0.12, where the high metallicity is consistent with expectations from formation through core accretion. We compare the metallicity of the M-dwarf hosts of giant exoplanets to that of M-dwarf hosts of nongiants (≲8R⊕). While the two populations appear to show different metallicity distributions, quantitative tests are prohibited by various sample caveats.more » « less
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Abstract We report on the discovery of a transiting giant planet around the 3500 K M3-dwarf star TOI-6383A located 172 pc from Earth. It was detected by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite and confirmed by a combination of ground-based follow-up photometry and precise radial velocity measurements. This planet has an orbital period of ∼1.791 days, a mass of 1.040 ± 0.094MJ, and a radius of , resulting in a mean bulk density of g cm−3. TOI-6383A has an M dwarf companion star, TOI-6383B, which has a stellar effective temperature ofTeff∼ 3100 K and a projected orbital separation of 3126 au. TOI-6383A is a low-mass dwarf star hosting a giant planet and is an intriguing object for planetary evolution studies due to its high planet-to-star mass ratio. This discovery is part of the Searching for Giant Exoplanets around M-dwarf Stars (GEMS) Survey, intending to provide robust and accurate estimates of the occurrence of GEMS and the statistics on their physical and orbital parameters. This paper presents an interesting addition to the small number of confirmed GEMS, particularly notable since its formation necessitates massive, dust-rich protoplanetary discs and high accretion efficiency (>10%).more » « less
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